Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 279.178105 316.087114 357.273338 406.865326 465.256507 532.186772 615.231664
2025-01-26 232.008650 282.292995 343.723035 425.260746 532.117132 669.481310 862.901200
2025-02-02 209.114949 267.131606 342.556291 449.831311 601.900536 815.202515 1147.286349
2025-02-09 185.560598 245.771286 327.793351 450.817446 636.350969 915.674540 1388.823593
2025-02-16 164.100143 223.608728 307.733044 439.437596 648.449853 982.456954 1591.205942
2025-02-23 147.756126 206.320952 291.813979 430.811256 661.703472 1051.348574 1812.000691
2025-03-02 138.968509 198.822537 289.052512 441.482713 706.906047 1181.278679 2178.688139
2025-03-09 129.114707 188.527824 280.558135 441.212681 732.650606 1280.676685 2513.383425
2025-03-16 118.858459 176.537738 267.947699 432.036692 740.410098 1346.727650 2795.756539
2025-03-23 111.888086 169.067957 261.810371 433.120791 767.084915 1455.327640 3211.252798
2025-03-30 103.924829 159.265910 250.756117 423.823140 771.786976 1518.293641 3534.864992
2025-04-06 97.969064 152.281893 243.819320 421.222772 789.421021 1613.208805 3978.436722
2025-04-13 89.582779 140.737406 228.214671 400.901955 768.164446 1617.140812 4175.503387
2025-04-20 87.624366 140.074788 231.931677 418.877141 833.032096 1845.046920 5162.568851
2025-04-27 86.577288 140.874093 238.315794 442.992203 916.321512 2143.905496 6561.389455
2025-05-04 82.622860 136.146490 233.895002 443.959738 945.271813 2304.484781 7558.882080
2025-05-11 77.574608 129.062743 224.359909 432.792942 942.533827 2373.890661 8236.647091
2025-05-18 73.274023 123.068440 216.457737 424.327247 945.332023 2461.354000 9055.013094
2025-05-25 71.376809 121.422156 216.975797 434.799865 999.529692 2726.598988 10913.229306
2025-06-01 68.501274 117.717564 213.037428 434.534879 1024.771943 2905.461561 12495.615547
2025-06-08 64.986397 112.561812 205.734953 425.529908 1024.110915 2995.251652 13668.268946
2025-06-15 62.678186 109.605652 202.760447 426.593845 1052.733227 3201.150496 15761.765384
2025-06-22 59.611096 104.975580 195.928216 417.468717 1049.719289 3287.574680 17171.939517